Essential medicines · 47 counties
Which facilities run out next month, and who nearby can lend them stock?
When donor-funded logistics analysts leave, county pharmacists still have to decide every month. Tandawa reads routine facility reports, forecasts next-month stockout risk, proposes lateral transfers before stock expires, and writes the county brief. The pharmacist decides; the tool never moves stock.
2 counties are loaded on this server. Click a county to open its board. Boundaries: geoBoundaries (public domain) · Facilities: OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Stock: SIMULATED
Sierra Leone: the real-data evidence set — open a district board →
Counties, by risk
Does it work? Tested on real data
Sierra Leone facility reports (Dryad), out-of-sample backtest, 95% bootstrap intervals.
Next: validate in one county
Kisumu first. Lake-endemic malaria gives the forecast a strong seasonal signal, and the county mixes city hospitals with rural lakeside dispensaries close to a KEMSA regional depot. Six months of the county's real stock reports would replace every simulated number here and let us re-run the backtest on Kenyan data.
No county pharmacist has reviewed this tool yet. Their account of how the monthly stock decision is made today goes here, with their name and role, after the first conversation.
Pipeline run 3 Nov 2026, 10:35 UTC · model unknown · narrative model gpt-6.1-sol · Read the methods